2021 Canadian Federal Election forecast from Vox Pop Labs
2021-09-20T13:47:42-04:00
If the election were held today, the Liberals would win the most seats. Updated daily, The Signal predicts the election outcome using a model that draws on hundreds of polls. See methodology for details.
The circled figure represents the number of seats a party is estimated to win. The figures to the right and left of the estimate represent the upper and lower bounds, respectively, of a 95 per cent prediction interval.
Majority{{total}} seats
Evolution of the {{option}} vote
The time series graph models vote share over time for each of the parties. Select a specific day in the series to see detailed vote shares for each party.
Riding projections
{{regionName}} riding projections
Select a province to view the projected vote share for each of its federal ridings. Vote share at the riding level is extrapolated from national and regional estimates.